2. Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers

In the five seasons he has played at least 14 games, Allen has had no less than 105 targets and 71 receptions with over 1,000 yards four times. Over the last three seasons, he has averaged 101 catches, 148 targets and 1,262 yards per season.

But the Chargers have moved on from Philip Rivers, and Tyrod Taylor is stepping in as the starting quarterback until Justin Herbert is ready to take over. While I like Taylor as a fantasy asset this year with the talent that will be around him, it’s fair to assume that last year’s sixth-highest passing rate in the league (63.29 percent) will go down as the team is more competitive in games and naturally not letting it fly as often.

Allen’s three-year run as a WR1 in full PPR, with top-six finishes in 2017 and 2019, is all but certain to come to an end this year. Similar to Edelman, he will not necessarily be buoyed by touchdowns (six in each of the last three years) if his target/catch volume noticeably drops.

I’d be comfortable drafting Allen as a WR2, and that’s where his ADP sits right now (WR19 in full PPR; 12 teams). But his time as a top-end option may be gone, never to return.