3. Jamison Crowder, New York Jets
In the 13 games Sam Darnold played last year, here are Cowder’s target totals: 17, 9, 5, 5, 9, 6, 8, 4, 9, 7, 11, 8, and 10. From Week 6-17, when Darnold returned from mono, he was WR15 in full PPR.
As cited by Ian Hartitz of Rotoworld, Crowder was a top-12 finisher in full PPR five times last year (one of 15 wide receivers with at least that many top-12 finishes). Widen out to top-24 finishes, and Crowder was at least a WR2 in PPR seven times in Darnold’s 13 starts. Two of the exceptions were Darnold’s second and third starts back in action.
The Jets swapped Robby Anderson for Breshad Perriman in free agency, and they drafted Denzel Mims to bolster their wide receiver group. So Crowder’s team-high 122 targets from last year could be threatened, but the Jets were 31st in the league in third-down proficiency and that has to naturally get better this year. His chemistry with Darnold will matter, along with the broader tendency of Adam Gase’s offenses to heavily target slot receivers.
Crowder is a far greater asset in PPR formats. But he has topped 780 receiving yards in three of the last four seasons, so he’s not a complete stiff in standard scoring.
Crowder’s floor is a WR3 in PPR. While I’m not quite seeing a WR1 ceiling as Hartitz does, settling in somewhere in the WR2 range is possible. Currently at WR47 and late 10th-round pick in 12-team PPR ADP, Crowder is a worthy target once you’ve naturally secured a couple more noteworthy receivers in your draft.