The Green Bay Packers can rest a little easier now knowing that Aaron Rodgers is going to be with the franchise for the long haul. After two offseason of posturing about potentially heading to another team, he signed an extension that should keep him in Green Bay for the duration of his career.
He has shown no signs of slowing down, as Rodgers has won the MVP award in back-to-back seasons. Throughout his career, whenever he has played a full season, he has been amongst the best options at the position for Fantasy Football managers. If he plays in double-digit games, Rodgers has finished no worse than ninth with five instances of being the No. 1 quarterback.
This season, however, that could change. According to Sports Illustrated’s Fantasy Football projections for the 2022 season, Rodgers is someone that managers should be avoiding if at all possible.
Rodgers is projected to finish 15th this season, which would be by far his lowest ranking for a full season. His efficiency is still projected to be very high with a completion percentage of 68.5, but his counting stats are going to take a hit.
3,952 yards is what Sports Illustrated believes Rodgers will throw for with the Packers, which would be the fewest in a full season for him since 2015, which was last the last time he failed to reach the 4,000-yard plateau in a season without an injury.
30 touchdown passes is something many quarterbacks would be ecstatic about throwing, but we have come accustomed to Rodgers doing so much more. That is a sizable drop-off from the 48 he led the league with in 2021 and the 37 he tossed last season.
A big reason for the potential decline in production is how the roster is shaped around him. Green Bay traded Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders and lost Marquez Valdes-Scantling in free agency to the Kansas City Chiefs this offseason. Replacing your top two pass catchers is never an easy thing, but the rest of the roster is very strong.
Offensively, the Packers can rely more on the legs of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon out of the backfield. This is a Super Bowl-caliber defense that has been put together with first-round picks at every level.
For years Aaron Rodgers had to carry the franchise, which resulted in some gaudy stats for Fantasy Football managers. This year, the team is good enough around him that Rodgers’ arm will not be relied upon solely for the team to win games.