So, there’s reason to assume Montgomery’s touchdown numbers will go up. His total yardage may not increase too much from last season, though, because head coach Matt Nagy rarely uses Montgomery in the passing game last season.
Nagy elects to go to Cohen with nearly every pass play that’s designed for his running backs. Cohen saw 108 targets in the passing game last season, whereas Montgomery only saw 33.
The most targets Montgomery saw in a single game last season was five in week 8. Cohen saw at least five targets in 10 games last season. With a versatile weapon like Cohen as his disposal, don’t expect Nagy to suddenly start throwing to Montgomery the way he throws to Cohen.
It’s not just on swings or screens out of the backfield either. Cohen lined up in the slot or out wide on 38.3% of his snaps; Montgomery only lined up in those positions 20 total snaps on the year.
This lack of opportunities in the passing game will surely hurt Montgomery owners in PPR leagues, but it shouldn’t be as big of an issue in standard leagues. His fantasy strength of schedule is also the fifth easiest according to Fantasy Pros.
The number of carries could possibly go up for Montgomery, Nagy’s offense runs much smoother when he can employ a consistent rushing attack. Expect Montgomery to tote the rock anywhere from 12 to 15 times per game.
He’ll definitely be an interesting player to keep an eye on as this upcoming season progresses.