Fantasy Football: Predicting the 2020 season for Davante Adams

Davante Adams is clearly the Packers No. 1 wide receiver, but is there some fantasy upside for him in 2020?

Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

Davante Adams 2020 Fantasy Outlook

In 2018, when he played 15 games, Adams finished second in the NFL in targets (169). He was also top-10 in receptions (111), yards (1,386) and touchdowns (13). He finished as WR2 in full PPR that year.

Adams’ 2019 numbers, prorated to a full 16 games, would have been 111 receptions (169 targets), 1,329 yards and seven touchdowns. He scored in four of six games from Week 12-17, where he was WR4 in full PPR, with 13 catches for 116 yards in one of the games he failed to score in (Week 16). In two playoff games, he had 17 receptions (on 22 targets) for 298 yards and two touchdowns.

According to Pro Football Focus, Adams was targeted on 29 percent of his routes last year (second-most in the league). His 45.1 percent red zone target rate (based on routes run) led the league. Over the last three seasons, he has a league-most 23 red zone touchdowns.

The Packers may want to run the ball more this year, but Rodgers won’t be completely stifled. So there’s a path to Adams leading the league in targets, and he’s a virtual lock to be among the league leaders.

The promise of that kind of volume along with ample red zone work, where he’s very effective by the way (91.2 red zone grade from PFF from 2017-2019), is a path to Adams finishing as the WR1 in fantasy this year. He’s well worth a late first-round pick in all formats. In PPR formats (12 and 14-team leagues), he’ll be on the radar before pick 10.

Davante Adams 2020 Projection: 115 receptions (170 targets) for 1,340 yards, 10 TD