Predicting the 2020 season for David Montgomery

Behind a bad offensive line, Montgomery notably lacked explosive plays as a rookie (3.7 yards per carry, 5.3 yard per target, three 20-plus yard runs). That bad line also put him toward the top in broken tackles (28) and of course broken tackle rate (18.6 percent). Naturally, he was also toward the bottom in yards after contact.

Montgomery’s raw number of red zone carries (33) and share of the red zone carries (62.3 percent) were both top-15 marks in the league. So his six touchdowns in 2019 is lined up for some positive correction.

As seen previously, Montgomery was hardly a stud in the passing game as a rookie. But he outdid Cohen in yards per catch (7.4 to 5.8) and yards per target (5.3 to 4.4). On 124 more touches, Montgomery fumbled one fewer time than Cohen (two). Some tilt toward Cohen will naturally remain. But last year’s 139 combined targets should be more evenly distributed to Montgomery this year.

Everything points to more work for Montgomery in 2020. A breakout would naturally follow.

David Montgomery 2020 Projection: 280 carries for 1,176 yards, 9 TD; 37 receptions for 285 yards, 1 TD